Whenever I see mutual fund comparisons in the trade publications and in the financial section of the newspaper they almost always mention a specific fund and tell you how good it is in relation to its peer group. A peer group is a specialized sector of mutual funds that all invest in about the same type of stocks or areas of the world or size of companies or some such categorization.

Does this help you make money?

No.

Why?

You have several dogs. A minature poodle, a regular poodle and a very large poodle. On the outside they look very similar, but in performance they can be very different. In a race with a greyhound they will all lose. In a tracking contest with a beagle they will not be able to find the possum. In a contest with a retriever they will not get the bird as quickly. However the large poodle is bigger stronger and can do more than its counterparts. So what? You have the wrong dog for the job.

When you go hunting you don't want a poodle you want a pointer, setter or beagle depending upon the prey. When you invest your hard-earned money in a mutual fund you want the best performer for the type of hunt in which you are engaged and that hunt is for maximum appreciation of your investment. Your prey may change form (from a duck to a possum) and as the prey changes so should the animal (fund) you use (invest) also change.

If you had stayed invested in the best technology fund you could find a year ago, the best one in the entire peer group, I can guarantee you have lost money. The sector has lost more than 75% of it value. It makes no difference if you have the best dog of that breed. If it can't do the job you must change dogs. (Pun intended.)

The important thing to remember when choosing a mutual fund is to find one that is in a sector that is strong NOW, not a year or 3 years ago. When you go back for 3 years or 5 years you will find that there has been a period of time when that sector had or has a very big decline in value. When ANY fund starts down more than 10% to 20% (you decide) it is time to sell it for another fund that is still increasing in value.

When we are in a bear market, as we are now, you may not be to locate one that is going up. Do not listen to any broker who says that a group cannot go any lower. You must wait until you see it increasing in value every week for at least 2 months or more before committing any funds.

You only want to be invested in the best no-load fund in the strongest peer group at all times.

Al Thomas

Albert W. Thomas has spent most of his life in the field of finance. In 1965 he founded an insurance holding company, Security Dynamics Investment Corporation, after having been an agent and General Agent for several life insurance companies. In 1970 he became cofounder and president of Real Life Estate, Inc., that marketed a unique real estate and life insurance package.

After he became interested in commodities he bought a seat for his personal trading on the Chicago Open Board of Trade, which is now known as the MidAmerica Commodity Exchange. Later he became a full time trader and also acted as a commodity broker for a few select clients. By fellow floor traders Al is considered to be an excellent technical analyst much of which is outlined in his book IF IT DOESN'T GO UP, DON'T BUY IT! It became a best seller on Amazon.

In 1981 he sold his membership on the Exchange and with his wife, Carolyn, lived full time aboard their 41' ketch, the Aumakua (which means guardian angel in Hawaiian). They sailed in Florida and the Bahamas for two years.

He founded World Trading Group in 1984 that grew to the seventh largest introducing commodity brokerage firm in the U.S. with 35 offices from coast to coast, Alaska and Canada. It was sold in 1992.

Al is a graduate of Northwestern University with a B.S. degree in Commerce and is a member of MENSA. He is now president of Williamsburg Investment Company that syndicates his weekly financial column since 1999 to more than 300 newspapers and writes a financial market letter called Over My Shoulder that is quoted in Barron?s and many other publications. A 3-month trial subscription is available on his web site. He is a regular guest on several financial radio talk shows.

His favorite pastime is fishing.

Mr. Thomas is available for speaking engagements. Please call 321-453-5300 for more information.